XRP Up or Down - September 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Open on Polymarket ↗Yes last at 51¢
The catch
Resolves on Chainlink's time-weighted average price, not spot price or any exchange.
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗
Pays out only if
XRP's time-weighted average price during the specified window must be at or above the starting price.
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Has to happen during September 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
“This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗Counts as done when: TWAP value published by Chainlink for the specified time range
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗Decided by: Chainlink, XRP/USD TWAP data stream
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗
Does not count
Spot market prices from exchanges or sources other than Chainlink TWAP
“Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.” · market rules ↗- XRP spot price on Coinbase or Binance increases during the window but Chainlink TWAP does notour reading
- XRP price spikes briefly during the window but the time-weighted average remains below the starting priceour reading
- XRP price increases on most exchanges but Chainlink's data feed shows a decreaseour reading
Watch out
HIGHAn outside website decides, with no backup named
“The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗- WATCHSome obvious wins don't count
Read on 2026-09-10. Click a line for the sentence it rests on. Facts and gaps only, not a prediction.
The rules, in plain English
This market resolves to "Up" if XRP's time-weighted average price from Chainlink during September 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that period. Otherwise it resolves to "Down". The resolution source is Chainlink's XRP/USD TWAP data stream at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams. This market uses the Chainlink TWAP data stream, not spot markets or other sources.
What the rules leave open
What happens if the Chainlink data stream is unavailable or fails to publish data for the specified time range
closest the rules come: “The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams.” · market rules ↗How the 'price at the beginning of that range' is determined (first tick, average of first minute, price at 11:15:00 exactly)
closest the rules come: “This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range.” · market rules ↗